Isadora E. Fluck

Environmental data scientist

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The influence of sample size and sampling design on estimating population‐level intra specific trait variation (ITV) along environmental gradients


Journal article


Isadora E Fluck, Sydne Record, Angela Strecker, Phoebe L Zarnetske, Benjamin Baiser
Ecology and Evolution, vol. 14(9), 2024


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Cite

APA   Click to copy
Fluck, I. E., Record, S., Strecker, A., Zarnetske, P. L., & Baiser, B. (2024). The influence of sample size and sampling design on estimating population‐level intra specific trait variation (ITV) along environmental gradients. Ecology and Evolution, 14(9). https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.70250


Chicago/Turabian   Click to copy
Fluck, Isadora E, Sydne Record, Angela Strecker, Phoebe L Zarnetske, and Benjamin Baiser. “The Influence of Sample Size and Sampling Design on Estimating Population‐Level Intra Specific Trait Variation (ITV) along Environmental Gradients.” Ecology and Evolution 14, no. 9 (2024).


MLA   Click to copy
Fluck, Isadora E., et al. “The Influence of Sample Size and Sampling Design on Estimating Population‐Level Intra Specific Trait Variation (ITV) along Environmental Gradients.” Ecology and Evolution, vol. 14, no. 9, 2024, doi:10.1002/ece3.70250.


BibTeX   Click to copy

@article{isadora2024a,
  title = {The influence of sample size and sampling design on estimating population‐level intra specific trait variation (ITV) along environmental gradients},
  year = {2024},
  issue = {9},
  journal = {Ecology and Evolution},
  volume = {14},
  doi = {10.1002/ece3.70250},
  author = {Fluck, Isadora E and Record, Sydne and Strecker, Angela and Zarnetske, Phoebe L and Baiser, Benjamin}
}

Understanding the relationship between intraspecific trait variability (ITV) and its biotic and abiotic drivers is crucial for advancing population and community ecology. Despite its importance, there is a lack of guidance on how to effectively sample ITV and reduce bias in the resulting inferences. In this study, we explored how sample size affects the estimation of population-level ITV, and how the distribution of sample sizes along an environmental gradient (i.e., sampling design) impacts the probabilities of committing Type I and II errors. We investigated Type I and II error probabilities using four simulated scenarios which varied sampling design and the strength of the ITV-environment relationships. We also applied simulation scenarios to empirical data on populations of the small mammal, Peromyscus maniculatus across gradients of latitude and temperature at sites in the National Ecological Observatory Network (NEON) in the continental United States. We found that larger sample sizes reduce error rates in the estimation of population-level ITV for both in silico and Peromyscus maniculatus populations. Furthermore, the influence of sample size on detecting ITV-environment relationships depends on how sample sizes and population-level ITV are distributed along environmental gradients. High correlations between sample size and the environment result in greater Type I error, while weak ITV–environmental gradient relationships showed high Type II error probabilities. Therefore, having large sample sizes that are even across populations is the most robust sampling design for studying ITV-environment relationships. These findings shed light on the complex interplay among sample size, sampling design, ITV, and environmental gradients. 
 Schematic illustration representing the four simulation Scenarios where the mountain (i.e., elevation) represents an environmental gradient, the blue circles represent the sample size and the green parabolas represent the intraspecific trait variation (ITV) of the in silico populations.
Influence of sample size and true population-level ITV on the root mean square error (RMSE) of the population-level ITV estimate (CV^) for in silico populations.
The higher the variability in a population, higher is the proper sample size. We see that sampling less than 20 individuals cause a rapid increase in error.


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